So, what to do on a weekend when the crowd is historically inaccurate?
Well, are they really?
Today I will run the Tote Method through its paces at Santa Anita for the Breeder's Cup card. But I will be focusing on overlays and horses who rise in return after qualifying.
(If you will be following along please reload the page every so often to refresh the screen.)
R1- At 10mtp it looks like the 2 and 3 are overlays to look at, my early pick is the 4, so if things stay as they are it will be those three as key.
Overlays ran out, but my early pick won so alive in the multi race wagers.
R2- Short field so I'll pass this one. FYI my early pick is the 3.
R3- At the opening the 3 is the best overlay. My early pick is the 2.
With two key qualifiers in the 5 and the 11, if things stand I will look to key the 2 and 3 with them.
The 13 wasn't on my radar, did get a qualifier to place, didn't play it that way however.
R4- Early qualifier is the 4 with two overlays in the 1 and 9. My early pick was the 3. See what happens if all stays as is...
Crowd was right in the late stages of this one as they bet the 1 into qualifying and it pans out for them.
R5- The early qualifier is the 4 with the overlays being 1,2,9 and 10- the 9 looks as though it may stay up there, my early pick was the 10.
12 goes wire to wire in a nice win.
R6- The heavy fav qualifies early with 2,3,4 and 7 all staying in as overlays. I like the 3,6 and 8 as long shot itm plays. Too much to do with the possibility of having a winning loss so going to pass.
R7- The early qualifier and my early pick is the 2. The 12 is my long shot for this race, may just stick with that as not pulling the trigger in the last as the 5 could only get up for second, money was there my thought process wasn't.
R8- The early qualifier is the 6 here, with the 1,4 getting layover as of this minute. My early pick is the 2. If things stay as is I will be looking to key the 1 and 2 with the others.
No surprises with that outcome as the favs topped the board.
R9- The 12 is my early pick and the 6 and 11 have both qualified with the 9 the layover. Looking for the price here so if things stay put will key my early pick with those and the 13.
Qualifiers take the top two again.
R10- The 4 is an early qualifier and also my early pick. Going to try a Hi-5 putting her on top. I like the 8 at a price in the next so run her with it as well.
The price was there as the overlay beat the qualifier for top prize.
R11- I picked the 8 early. The 9 is a qualifier and the 10 is a short priced overlay. The 5 has a great price right now, we'll see if it holds.
Qualifier hits top spot, but I held the wrong longshot while the 5 got up for third.
R12- Hear in the finale my early pick is the 8, but with an hour to go I'll wait until later to decide what to do with him. No early qualifiers yet.
The wagering has been even with the 8 flirting with qualifying but not quite getting there yet. We'll see if he can get it done.
Tough run and the 10 prevailed.
Have a great weekend!